Picks for Sept. 7th

The picks I like tomorrow:

Tier 1: Padres, Red Sox.
Tier 2: 144 points or fewer, Serbia.
Tier 3: Union, Brewers, Rangers.


Derek Holland's stats: 13-5, ERA 4.13, 133 SO, WHIP 1.39
Away stats: 7-3, ERA 3.49, 75 SO
August stats: 2-1, ERA 5.13, 24 SO
Career VS. Rays: 3-1, ERA 7.29, 22 SO

David Price's stats: 12-12, ERA 3.41, 195 SO, WHIP 1.09
Home stats: 4-8, ERA 3.50, 114 SO
August stats: 3-2, ERA 2.13, 43 SO
Career VS. Rangers: 0-3, ERA 6.26, 27 SO

Analysis: So far in this 3 game series, the Rangers and Rays have split it 1 win a piece. The Rangers bats exploded last night, allowing them to get an 8-0 win. David Price is having a good year, but his record is down thanks to inconsistent bats by his teammates. Derek Holland has done good as well, but hasn't done as well as Price, but has a better record thanks to a lot of run support. Additionally, the Rangers are 6-4 in their last 10 while the Rays are 5-5 in their last 10. I'm thinking the Rangers are gonna win this one. Even though Price is a slightly better pitcher, he gets better run support then Price does. Also, Price has been bad historically against the Rangers. Look for a close game. The pick: Rangers.

Tim Wakefield's stats: 6-6, ERA 4.95, 75 SO, WHIP 1.33
Away stats: 2-4, ERA 4.83, 34 SO
August stats: 0-2, ERA 5.23, 20 SO
Career VS. Blue Jays: 18-14, ERA 3.87, 226 SO

Brandon Morrow's stats: 9-10, ERA 4.78, 172 SO, WHIP 1.30
Home stats: 4-8, ERA 6.38, 92 SO
August stats: 1-4, ERA 5.58, 31 SO
Career VS. Red Sox: 1-2, ERA 8.70, 35 SO

Analysis: The Red Sox are in a bit of a slump, going 5-5 in their last 10 and losing 4 or their last 6. The Jays are worse yet, going 4-6 in their last 10, got swept by the Yankees, and lost 14-0 to the BoSox yesterday. Wakefield is having a down year, as his stats reveal. Morrow's year has been only slightly better. The Red Sox bats are much better then the Jays bats (with the exception of Bautista). I think the Red Sox will open the flood gates like yesterday, and I also think Wakefield gives up a good number of runs as well. I'm thinking the Sox take this one in a high scoring game. The pick: Red Sox.

Zach Greinke's stats: 14-5, ERA 4.00, 168 SO, WHIP 1.17
Away stats: 4-5, ERA 5.31, 68 SO
August stats: 5-1, ERA 3.02, 39 SO
Career VS. Cardinals: 5-2, ERA 3.59, 41 SO

Chris Carpenter's stats: 8-9, ERA 3.92, 159 SO, WHIP 1.33
Home stats: 3-3, ERA 3.44, 83 SO
August stats: 2-2, ERA 4.08, 39 SO
Career VS. Brewers: 5-6, ERA 5.05, 82 SO

Analysis: The Brewers have picked up their play as of late, going 6-4 in their last 10 and winning 4 of their last 5. The Cardinals are also 6-4 in their last 10, but are slowly fading as of late, allowing the Brew Crew run away with the division. Greinke is having a very good season, but hasn't done very well on the road. Carpenter is having an average season, and has pitched decently at home. The Brewers bats have been very good as of late, as have the Cardinals, but the Brewers have done a bit better. I like the Brewers to get the win on the road. This should be a close game and a good one to watch. The pick: Brewers.
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